France's status as a two-time World Cup finalist with unmatched squad depth from Europe's top leagues anchors their 71% implied probability in Group I of the 2026 qualifiers. Recent strong showings in UEFA Nations League fixtures and seamless integration of young talents have reinforced this edge over challengers. Norway sits at 21% thanks to consistent results driven by elite attacking options and improved defensive organization in recent away wins. Senegal holds 8.5% on the strength of disciplined recent form in African qualifying rounds, while Iraq remains at 0.9% amid ongoing squad inconsistencies and tougher historical results against higher-ranked sides. No major injury updates or schedule shifts have materially altered these dynamics in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 71%
Norvège 21%
Sénégal 9%
Irak <1%
$137,759 Vol.
$137,759 Vol.
27 juin 2026
France
71%
Norvège
21%
Sénégal
9%
Irak
1%
France 71%
Norvège 21%
Sénégal 9%
Irak <1%
$137,759 Vol.
$137,759 Vol.
27 juin 2026
France
$60,579 Vol.
71%
Norvège
$15,432 Vol.
21%
Sénégal
$17,851 Vol.
9%
Irak
$43,897 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as a two-time World Cup finalist with unmatched squad depth from Europe's top leagues anchors their 71% implied probability in Group I of the 2026 qualifiers. Recent strong showings in UEFA Nations League fixtures and seamless integration of young talents have reinforced this edge over challengers. Norway sits at 21% thanks to consistent results driven by elite attacking options and improved defensive organization in recent away wins. Senegal holds 8.5% on the strength of disciplined recent form in African qualifying rounds, while Iraq remains at 0.9% amid ongoing squad inconsistencies and tougher historical results against higher-ranked sides. No major injury updates or schedule shifts have materially altered these dynamics in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$137,759Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as a two-time World Cup finalist with unmatched squad depth from Europe's top leagues anchors their 71% implied probability in Group I of the 2026 qualifiers. Recent strong showings in UEFA Nations League fixtures and seamless integration of young talents have reinforced this edge over challengers. Norway sits at 21% thanks to consistent results driven by elite attacking options and improved defensive organization in recent away wins. Senegal holds 8.5% on the strength of disciplined recent form in African qualifying rounds, while Iraq remains at 0.9% amid ongoing squad inconsistencies and tougher historical results against higher-ranked sides. No major injury updates or schedule shifts have materially altered these dynamics in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,759Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's status as a two-time World Cup finalist with unmatched squad depth from Europe's top leagues anchors their 71% implied probability in Group I of the 2026 qualifiers. Recent strong showings in UEFA Nations League fixtures and seamless integration of young talents have reinforced this edge over challengers. Norway sits at 21% thanks to consistent results driven by elite attacking options and improved defensive organization in recent away wins. Senegal holds 8.5% on the strength of disciplined recent form in African qualifying rounds, while Iraq remains at 0.9% amid ongoing squad inconsistencies and tougher historical results against higher-ranked sides. No major injury updates or schedule shifts have materially altered these dynamics in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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