Argentina's status as defending champions and third-ranked in FIFA standings drives trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for topping Group J, bolstered by coach Lionel Scaloni's recent 55-man preliminary squad announcement including Lionel Messi and Lautaro Martínez, signaling strong roster depth despite minor injury concerns. Austria sits at 18.0% as the primary challenger, leveraging solid recent friendlies like 1-0 over South Korea and 24th global ranking for upset potential against Algeria. Algeria's 6.3% reflects a goalkeeping crisis, with Luca Zidane doubtful from facial fractures and reliance on a retired option, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% amid 66th ranking and limited firepower in a top-two-advance group stage format.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe J
Vainqueur de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA, groupe J
Argentine 76%
Autriche 17%
Algérie 6.3%
Jordanie 1.1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
Argentine
76%
Autriche
17%
Algérie
6%
Jordanie
1%
Argentine 76%
Autriche 17%
Algérie 6.3%
Jordanie 1.1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
Argentine
76%
Autriche
17%
Algérie
6%
Jordanie
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's status as defending champions and third-ranked in FIFA standings drives trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for topping Group J, bolstered by coach Lionel Scaloni's recent 55-man preliminary squad announcement including Lionel Messi and Lautaro Martínez, signaling strong roster depth despite minor injury concerns. Austria sits at 18.0% as the primary challenger, leveraging solid recent friendlies like 1-0 over South Korea and 24th global ranking for upset potential against Algeria. Algeria's 6.3% reflects a goalkeeping crisis, with Luca Zidane doubtful from facial fractures and reliance on a retired option, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% amid 66th ranking and limited firepower in a top-two-advance group stage format.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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