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Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ?

icon for Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ?
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ?

Oui

89% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

89% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-10 House election.Houston Gaines secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 10th congressional district with 66.9% in the May primary, while Pamela DeLancy won the Democratic primary. The open seat, previously held by Mike Collins who won 63% in 2024, is rated a solid or safe Republican hold by major forecasters. Georgia law requires a majority for an outright win on November 3, with a runoff otherwise. Traders price an outright winner at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's established partisan lean, the limited field of major-party candidates, and absence of competitive general-election polling that might signal a closer contest. National conditions and turnout could still affect the final margin.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-10 House election.
Volume
$148
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-10 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-10 House election.Houston Gaines secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 10th congressional district with 66.9% in the May primary, while Pamela DeLancy won the Democratic primary. The open seat, previously held by Mike Collins who won 63% in 2024, is rated a solid or safe Republican hold by major forecasters. Georgia law requires a majority for an outright win on November 3, with a runoff otherwise. Traders price an outright winner at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's established partisan lean, the limited field of major-party candidates, and absence of competitive general-election polling that might signal a closer contest. National conditions and turnout could still affect the final margin.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-10 House election.
Volume
$148
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-10 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-10 House election.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Vainqueur du premier tour dans l'élection pour la Chambre GA-10 ? » à 89%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 89¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ? » est « Vainqueur du premier tour dans l'élection pour la Chambre GA-10 ? » à 89%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection à la Chambre GA-10 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.