The redrawn boundaries of Florida's 25th Congressional District, stretching from South Beach to Delray Beach under the map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, have shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean, underpinning the 74% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz has established a strong position in the August 18 Democratic primary against Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing double-digit leads that position him as the likely general-election candidate. On the Republican side, multiple primary contenders including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and George Moraitis are competing ahead of the same August 18 date, but the district's partisan composition and national midterm dynamics limit GOP prospects to the 25.5% range. Cook Political Report and similar analyses highlight the seat's competitiveness yet note structural advantages for Democrats in voter composition and early voting patterns. With the general election on November 3, 2026, no major late-breaking developments have altered the primary-driven outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-25
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-25
$21,903 Vol.
$21,903 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
73%
Parti républicain
25%
$21,903 Vol.
$21,903 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,567 Vol.
73%
Parti républicain
$15,335 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Florida's 25th Congressional District, stretching from South Beach to Delray Beach under the map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, have shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean, underpinning the 74% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz has established a strong position in the August 18 Democratic primary against Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing double-digit leads that position him as the likely general-election candidate. On the Republican side, multiple primary contenders including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and George Moraitis are competing ahead of the same August 18 date, but the district's partisan composition and national midterm dynamics limit GOP prospects to the 25.5% range. Cook Political Report and similar analyses highlight the seat's competitiveness yet note structural advantages for Democrats in voter composition and early voting patterns. With the general election on November 3, 2026, no major late-breaking developments have altered the primary-driven outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$21,903Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Florida's 25th Congressional District, stretching from South Beach to Delray Beach under the map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, have shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean, underpinning the 74% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz has established a strong position in the August 18 Democratic primary against Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing double-digit leads that position him as the likely general-election candidate. On the Republican side, multiple primary contenders including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and George Moraitis are competing ahead of the same August 18 date, but the district's partisan composition and national midterm dynamics limit GOP prospects to the 25.5% range. Cook Political Report and similar analyses highlight the seat's competitiveness yet note structural advantages for Democrats in voter composition and early voting patterns. With the general election on November 3, 2026, no major late-breaking developments have altered the primary-driven outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,903Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn boundaries of Florida's 25th Congressional District, stretching from South Beach to Delray Beach under the map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, have shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean, underpinning the 74% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz has established a strong position in the August 18 Democratic primary against Oliver Larkin, with recent polls showing double-digit leads that position him as the likely general-election candidate. On the Republican side, multiple primary contenders including Scott Singer, Dan Franzese, and George Moraitis are competing ahead of the same August 18 date, but the district's partisan composition and national midterm dynamics limit GOP prospects to the 25.5% range. Cook Political Report and similar analyses highlight the seat's competitiveness yet note structural advantages for Democrats in voter composition and early voting patterns. With the general election on November 3, 2026, no major late-breaking developments have altered the primary-driven outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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