**Flávio Bolsonaro remains under a Federal Police investigation authorized in July by Supreme Court Justice André Mendonça into alleged money laundering, corruption, and currency evasion tied to financing the film “Dark Horse” through connections with arrested banker Daniel Vorcaro.** The probe, unsealed in September amid the broader Banco Master scandal, has produced no formal charges or arrest to date despite months of scrutiny. As a sitting senator and presidential candidate ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, procedural timelines in STF-supervised cases, evidentiary requirements, and institutional pace make rapid indictment or detention before October 31 improbable. Trader consensus at 95.5% “No” reflects this absence of accelerating developments. Late-breaking evidence, a prosecutorial filing, or judicial order could still shift the timeline, though none has materialized in recent weeks.