CDC surveillance data through Week 22 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate at 87.5 per 100,000 population, with weekly rates already down to 0.1 per 100,000 amid typical summer lows. Official FluView and FluSight ensemble forecasts confirm minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions nationally through mid-June, keeping the final Week 23 cumulative figure firmly inside the 85–90 band. Market-implied odds of 95.2% for that range reflect traders’ assessment of these stable, low-activity conditions and historical off-season patterns. Only substantial late revisions to prior weeks’ counts or an anomalous June uptick—both considered remote—would shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
90–95 <1%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.6%
90–95 <1%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC surveillance data through Week 22 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate at 87.5 per 100,000 population, with weekly rates already down to 0.1 per 100,000 amid typical summer lows. Official FluView and FluSight ensemble forecasts confirm minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions nationally through mid-June, keeping the final Week 23 cumulative figure firmly inside the 85–90 band. Market-implied odds of 95.2% for that range reflect traders’ assessment of these stable, low-activity conditions and historical off-season patterns. Only substantial late revisions to prior weeks’ counts or an anomalous June uptick—both considered remote—would shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes