Divisions among French left-wing parties over the proposed October 2026 primary for a joint 2027 presidential nominee have elevated the probability of cancellation to the leading outcome. Socialist leaders have fractured on participation, with some favoring direct coalition talks involving figures such as Raphaël Glucksmann instead of a formal vote, while Ecologist leader Marine Tondelier continues to advocate for the primary process she helped initiate. François Ruffin’s independent candidacy and recent municipal election results have underscored ongoing internal disagreements, reducing unified backing. Traders view these procedural and alliance tensions as the dominant factor sustaining high cancellation odds ahead of the scheduled vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnnulé 57%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 10%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy <1%
$51,595 Vol.
$51,595 Vol.
11 oct. 2026
Annulé
57%
Marine Tondelier
29%
François Ruffin
10%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Annulé 57%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 10%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy <1%
$51,595 Vol.
$51,595 Vol.
11 oct. 2026
Annulé
$8,298 Vol.
57%
Marine Tondelier
$26,582 Vol.
29%
François Ruffin
$11,243 Vol.
10%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$117 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$3,882 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Divisions among French left-wing parties over the proposed October 2026 primary for a joint 2027 presidential nominee have elevated the probability of cancellation to the leading outcome. Socialist leaders have fractured on participation, with some favoring direct coalition talks involving figures such as Raphaël Glucksmann instead of a formal vote, while Ecologist leader Marine Tondelier continues to advocate for the primary process she helped initiate. François Ruffin’s independent candidacy and recent municipal election results have underscored ongoing internal disagreements, reducing unified backing. Traders view these procedural and alliance tensions as the dominant factor sustaining high cancellation odds ahead of the scheduled vote.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$51,595Date de fin
11 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Divisions among French left-wing parties over the proposed October 2026 primary for a joint 2027 presidential nominee have elevated the probability of cancellation to the leading outcome. Socialist leaders have fractured on participation, with some favoring direct coalition talks involving figures such as Raphaël Glucksmann instead of a formal vote, while Ecologist leader Marine Tondelier continues to advocate for the primary process she helped initiate. François Ruffin’s independent candidacy and recent municipal election results have underscored ongoing internal disagreements, reducing unified backing. Traders view these procedural and alliance tensions as the dominant factor sustaining high cancellation odds ahead of the scheduled vote.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$51,595Date de fin
11 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divisions among French left-wing parties over the proposed October 2026 primary for a joint 2027 presidential nominee have elevated the probability of cancellation to the leading outcome. Socialist leaders have fractured on participation, with some favoring direct coalition talks involving figures such as Raphaël Glucksmann instead of a formal vote, while Ecologist leader Marine Tondelier continues to advocate for the primary process she helped initiate. François Ruffin’s independent candidacy and recent municipal election results have underscored ongoing internal disagreements, reducing unified backing. Traders view these procedural and alliance tensions as the dominant factor sustaining high cancellation odds ahead of the scheduled vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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