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Politique·Français

France United Left Primary Winner

icon for France United Left Primary Winner
Politique·Français

France United Left Primary Winner

Annulé 57%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 9%

Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.1%

Polymarket

$51,515 Vol.

Annulé 57%

Marine Tondelier 29%

François Ruffin 9%

Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.1%

Polymarket

$51,515 Vol.

icon for Annulé

Annulé

$8,298 Vol.

57%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$26,582 Vol.

29%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$11,223 Vol.

9%

icon for Benjamin Lucas-Lundy

Benjamin Lucas-Lundy

$67 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,882 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lydie Massard

Lydie Massard

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ongoing divisions within France's Socialist Party, including Boris Vallaud's May break with leadership and mixed municipal election results, have elevated the implied probability that the October 2026 United Left primary will be canceled amid stalled coalition talks with Ecologists, L'Après, and Debout!. Key figures have skipped preparatory meetings as separate presidential runs by La France Insoumise and Socialists gain traction. If the primary proceeds, Marine Tondelier's positioning stems from her December 2025 designation as the Ecologists' candidate and consistent advocacy for a unified process, while François Ruffin's support reflects his Debout! leadership and outreach efforts. Trader consensus incorporates the tight timeline and unresolved alliance negotiations ahead of the 2027 presidential contest.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$51,515
Date de fin
11 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ongoing divisions within France's Socialist Party, including Boris Vallaud's May break with leadership and mixed municipal election results, have elevated the implied probability that the October 2026 United Left primary will be canceled amid stalled coalition talks with Ecologists, L'Après, and Debout!. Key figures have skipped preparatory meetings as separate presidential runs by La France Insoumise and Socialists gain traction. If the primary proceeds, Marine Tondelier's positioning stems from her December 2025 designation as the Ecologists' candidate and consistent advocacy for a unified process, while François Ruffin's support reflects his Debout! leadership and outreach efforts. Trader consensus incorporates the tight timeline and unresolved alliance negotiations ahead of the 2027 presidential contest.

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$51,515
Date de fin
11 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« France United Left Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Annulé » à 57%, suivi de « Marine Tondelier » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « France United Left Primary Winner » a généré $51.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « France United Left Primary Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « France United Left Primary Winner » est « Annulé » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marine Tondelier » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « France United Left Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.