Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the frontrunner at 69% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by blockbuster pre-release tracking for its prime July 31 summer slot and Tom Holland's proven franchise draw, echoing past Spider-Man entries' billion-dollar hauls amid MCU family appeal. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 launch has delivered a commanding $942 million worldwide to lead year-to-date, topping charts for weeks, yet traders anticipate its legs waning against Spider-Man's projected $1.5 billion-plus potential per industry forecasts. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% due to its late December 18 release facing holiday competition and superhero fatigue risks, while Toy Story 5 (3.5%) eyes June 19 family bucks but stiff animated rivalry. Watch presales and May holdover grosses like Michael for momentum shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Le film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 69%
Avengers : Doomsday 15%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 5.8%
Toy Story 5 3.5%
$6,903,991 Vol.
$6,903,991 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
69%
Avengers : Doomsday
15%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
6%
Toy Story 5
3%
L’Odyssée
2%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Projet Hail Mary
<1%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 69%
Avengers : Doomsday 15%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 5.8%
Toy Story 5 3.5%
$6,903,991 Vol.
$6,903,991 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
69%
Avengers : Doomsday
15%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
6%
Toy Story 5
3%
L’Odyssée
2%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Projet Hail Mary
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the frontrunner at 69% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by blockbuster pre-release tracking for its prime July 31 summer slot and Tom Holland's proven franchise draw, echoing past Spider-Man entries' billion-dollar hauls amid MCU family appeal. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April 1 launch has delivered a commanding $942 million worldwide to lead year-to-date, topping charts for weeks, yet traders anticipate its legs waning against Spider-Man's projected $1.5 billion-plus potential per industry forecasts. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% due to its late December 18 release facing holiday competition and superhero fatigue risks, while Toy Story 5 (3.5%) eyes June 19 family bucks but stiff animated rivalry. Watch presales and May holdover grosses like Michael for momentum shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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