Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads the 2026 box office market at 58.5% implied probability thanks to its prime July 31 summer slot and robust tracking estimates that position it as the season’s dominant blockbuster. Industry analysts consistently forecast the Tom Holland-led film to outpace rivals with strong opening-weekend numbers and sustained international appeal, building on the franchise’s proven track record. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 18% as its December 18 release draws early buzz from long-lead tracking reports, though its later timing leaves more uncertainty. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds 8.3% after early-year performance, while Toy Story 5 and The Odyssey trail further behind amid crowded competition. Traders are watching the next few months of presales and reviews for any momentum shifts before the summer peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe film le plus rentable en 2026 ?
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 58%
Avengers : Doomsday 18%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 8.3%
Toy Story 5 3.3%
$7,298,017 Vol.
$7,298,017 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
58%
Avengers : Doomsday
18%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
8%
Toy Story 5
3%
L’Odyssée
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Michael
1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Projet Hail Mary
<1%
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour 58%
Avengers : Doomsday 18%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy 8.3%
Toy Story 5 3.3%
$7,298,017 Vol.
$7,298,017 Vol.
Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour
58%
Avengers : Doomsday
18%
Le film Super Mario Galaxy
8%
Toy Story 5
3%
L’Odyssée
3%
Star Wars : The Mandalorian et Grogu
1%
Dune : Le Messie
1%
Michael
1%
Wicked : Pour de Bon
1%
Les Hauts de Hurlevent
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Hunger Games : Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Projet Hail Mary
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads the 2026 box office market at 58.5% implied probability thanks to its prime July 31 summer slot and robust tracking estimates that position it as the season’s dominant blockbuster. Industry analysts consistently forecast the Tom Holland-led film to outpace rivals with strong opening-weekend numbers and sustained international appeal, building on the franchise’s proven track record. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 18% as its December 18 release draws early buzz from long-lead tracking reports, though its later timing leaves more uncertainty. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds 8.3% after early-year performance, while Toy Story 5 and The Odyssey trail further behind amid crowded competition. Traders are watching the next few months of presales and reviews for any momentum shifts before the summer peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes