Forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent runs show modest warming from today's cooler conditions driven by a building high-pressure ridge, though increasing cloud cover and dew points around 12–14°C are expected to cap further rises and limit upside risk for 23°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 21–23°C envelope heavily, consistent with historical early-September variability and the resolution criteria based on official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance overnight and morning briefings will provide the final inputs before markets close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 6 septembre ?
22°C 57%
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
20°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$30,611 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,611 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
18%
22°C
57%
23°C
20%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou plus
1%
22°C 57%
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
20°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$30,611 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,611 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$145 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$26,674 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$334 Vol.
2%
20°C
$429 Vol.
4%
21°C
$754 Vol.
18%
22°C
$839 Vol.
57%
23°C
$754 Vol.
20%
24°C
$169 Vol.
4%
25°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou plus
$167 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent runs show modest warming from today's cooler conditions driven by a building high-pressure ridge, though increasing cloud cover and dew points around 12–14°C are expected to cap further rises and limit upside risk for 23°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 21–23°C envelope heavily, consistent with historical early-September variability and the resolution criteria based on official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance overnight and morning briefings will provide the final inputs before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,611Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent runs show modest warming from today's cooler conditions driven by a building high-pressure ridge, though increasing cloud cover and dew points around 12–14°C are expected to cap further rises and limit upside risk for 23°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 21–23°C envelope heavily, consistent with historical early-September variability and the resolution criteria based on official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance overnight and morning briefings will provide the final inputs before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,611Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent runs show modest warming from today's cooler conditions driven by a building high-pressure ridge, though increasing cloud cover and dew points around 12–14°C are expected to cap further rises and limit upside risk for 23°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 21–23°C envelope heavily, consistent with historical early-September variability and the resolution criteria based on official KNMI observations. Updated model guidance overnight and morning briefings will provide the final inputs before markets close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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