Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers likely on August 16, limiting daytime heating and keeping Beijing's peak temperature in the 26–28°C range. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture favors reduced insolation and enhanced boundary-layer mixing, which narrows the distribution and explains the strong market-implied odds on 27°C (53.7%) and 26°C (36.1%). Official forecasts show typical August highs near 30–31°C under clearer conditions, but current guidance points to moderation that shifts probabilities away from 29°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the latest CMA updates and satellite observations for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 16 août ?
27°C 64.9%
28°C 16%
26°C 14.6%
29°C 6%
$84,902 Vol.
$84,902 Vol.
16 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
19%
27°C
57%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 64.9%
28°C 16%
26°C 14.6%
29°C 6%
$84,902 Vol.
$84,902 Vol.
16 août 2026
23°C or below
$4,616 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$14,021 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12,381 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,839 Vol.
19%
27°C
$5,025 Vol.
57%
28°C
$4,516 Vol.
16%
29°C
$6,012 Vol.
6%
30°C
$7,512 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,036 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,323 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,622 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers likely on August 16, limiting daytime heating and keeping Beijing's peak temperature in the 26–28°C range. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture favors reduced insolation and enhanced boundary-layer mixing, which narrows the distribution and explains the strong market-implied odds on 27°C (53.7%) and 26°C (36.1%). Official forecasts show typical August highs near 30–31°C under clearer conditions, but current guidance points to moderation that shifts probabilities away from 29°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the latest CMA updates and satellite observations for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$84,902Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers likely on August 16, limiting daytime heating and keeping Beijing's peak temperature in the 26–28°C range. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture favors reduced insolation and enhanced boundary-layer mixing, which narrows the distribution and explains the strong market-implied odds on 27°C (53.7%) and 26°C (36.1%). Official forecasts show typical August highs near 30–31°C under clearer conditions, but current guidance points to moderation that shifts probabilities away from 29°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the latest CMA updates and satellite observations for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,902Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers likely on August 16, limiting daytime heating and keeping Beijing's peak temperature in the 26–28°C range. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture favors reduced insolation and enhanced boundary-layer mixing, which narrows the distribution and explains the strong market-implied odds on 27°C (53.7%) and 26°C (36.1%). Official forecasts show typical August highs near 30–31°C under clearer conditions, but current guidance points to moderation that shifts probabilities away from 29°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the latest CMA updates and satellite observations for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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