Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 17 août ?
32°C 41%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
20%
32°C
41%
33°C
31%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 41%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
27°C or below
$54 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$142 Vol.
2%
30°C
$226 Vol.
4%
31°C
$311 Vol.
20%
32°C
$193 Vol.
41%
33°C
$108 Vol.
31%
34°C
$233 Vol.
7%
35°C
$25 Vol.
3%
36°C
$424 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$166 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,917Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,917Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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