**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's August 17 maximum near 33–34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a pattern of partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which limits peak solar heating while humidity remains elevated in the region's subtropical monsoon regime. This setup mirrors conditions that produced a 30°C high on August 14 and favors modest daytime maxima rather than the 36–38°C peaks more common in mid-summer. Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping the implied probability distribution tightly clustered around the current leading bins while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from convective timing and cloud cover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 17 août ?
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
32%
34°C
44%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
28°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6 Vol.
1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
2%
31°C
$31 Vol.
4%
32°C
$157 Vol.
8%
33°C
$73 Vol.
32%
34°C
$386 Vol.
44%
35°C
$96 Vol.
14%
36°C
$107 Vol.
3%
37°C
$15 Vol.
5%
38°C or higher
$49 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's August 17 maximum near 33–34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a pattern of partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which limits peak solar heating while humidity remains elevated in the region's subtropical monsoon regime.
This setup mirrors conditions that produced a 30°C high on August 14 and favors modest daytime maxima rather than the 36–38°C peaks more common in mid-summer. Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping the implied probability distribution tightly clustered around the current leading bins while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from convective timing and cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$946Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's August 17 maximum near 33–34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a pattern of partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which limits peak solar heating while humidity remains elevated in the region's subtropical monsoon regime.
This setup mirrors conditions that produced a 30°C high on August 14 and favors modest daytime maxima rather than the 36–38°C peaks more common in mid-summer. Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping the implied probability distribution tightly clustered around the current leading bins while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from convective timing and cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$946Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's August 17 maximum near 33–34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting on those two outcomes.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a pattern of partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, which limits peak solar heating while humidity remains elevated in the region's subtropical monsoon regime. This setup mirrors conditions that produced a 30°C high on August 14 and favors modest daytime maxima rather than the 36–38°C peaks more common in mid-summer. Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping the implied probability distribution tightly clustered around the current leading bins while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from convective timing and cloud cover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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