Recent cooling following the UK's fifth summer heatwave has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 26°C peak in London on August 15, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models tightly clustered around 26–28°C under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds. Official forecasts emphasize reduced warm advection after the prior day's 38.1°C reading at Kew Gardens, with limited model spread reflecting stable boundary-layer conditions and modest solar heating. This positioning aligns with climatological expectations for mid-August moderation after extreme events, while realistic challenges include unexpected convective cloud development or enhanced mixing that could shift the official maximum by 1–2°C at recording stations. Updated Met Office briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 août ?
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$165,453 Vol.
$165,453 Vol.
15 août 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$165,453 Vol.
$165,453 Vol.
15 août 2026
20°C or below
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,461 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,957 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15,100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$39,405 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$28,422 Vol.
100%
27°C
$23,814 Vol.
1%
28°C
$16,972 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$17,712 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$13,493 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following the UK's fifth summer heatwave has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 26°C peak in London on August 15, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models tightly clustered around 26–28°C under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds. Official forecasts emphasize reduced warm advection after the prior day's 38.1°C reading at Kew Gardens, with limited model spread reflecting stable boundary-layer conditions and modest solar heating. This positioning aligns with climatological expectations for mid-August moderation after extreme events, while realistic challenges include unexpected convective cloud development or enhanced mixing that could shift the official maximum by 1–2°C at recording stations. Updated Met Office briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$165,453Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following the UK's fifth summer heatwave has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 26°C peak in London on August 15, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models tightly clustered around 26–28°C under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds. Official forecasts emphasize reduced warm advection after the prior day's 38.1°C reading at Kew Gardens, with limited model spread reflecting stable boundary-layer conditions and modest solar heating. This positioning aligns with climatological expectations for mid-August moderation after extreme events, while realistic challenges include unexpected convective cloud development or enhanced mixing that could shift the official maximum by 1–2°C at recording stations. Updated Met Office briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$165,453Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling following the UK's fifth summer heatwave has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 26°C peak in London on August 15, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models tightly clustered around 26–28°C under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds. Official forecasts emphasize reduced warm advection after the prior day's 38.1°C reading at Kew Gardens, with limited model spread reflecting stable boundary-layer conditions and modest solar heating. This positioning aligns with climatological expectations for mid-August moderation after extreme events, while realistic challenges include unexpected convective cloud development or enhanced mixing that could shift the official maximum by 1–2°C at recording stations. Updated Met Office briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any sentiment shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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