Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 17 amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and 70–95% relative humidity that limits radiative cooling under Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime. These conditions, typical for mid-August with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, keep the mercury elevated compared to clearer nights, producing the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C, while any unexpected break in cloudiness or drier air advection would favor slightly cooler readings. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily because resolution hinges on official observatory measurements within this narrow forecast spread, with fresh model updates expected before the 17th.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 17 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 17 août ?
28°C 47%
27°C 33%
26°C 25%
29°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
15%
26°C
25%
27°C
33%
28°C
34%
29°C
18%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 33%
26°C 25%
29°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2 Vol.
15%
26°C
$2 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$19 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou plus
$400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 17 amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and 70–95% relative humidity that limits radiative cooling under Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime. These conditions, typical for mid-August with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, keep the mercury elevated compared to clearer nights, producing the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C, while any unexpected break in cloudiness or drier air advection would favor slightly cooler readings. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily because resolution hinges on official observatory measurements within this narrow forecast spread, with fresh model updates expected before the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$460Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 17 amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and 70–95% relative humidity that limits radiative cooling under Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime. These conditions, typical for mid-August with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, keep the mercury elevated compared to clearer nights, producing the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C, while any unexpected break in cloudiness or drier air advection would favor slightly cooler readings. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily because resolution hinges on official observatory measurements within this narrow forecast spread, with fresh model updates expected before the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$460Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 17 amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and 70–95% relative humidity that limits radiative cooling under Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime. These conditions, typical for mid-August with normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures, keep the mercury elevated compared to clearer nights, producing the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C, while any unexpected break in cloudiness or drier air advection would favor slightly cooler readings. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily because resolution hinges on official observatory measurements within this narrow forecast spread, with fresh model updates expected before the 17th.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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