Long-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-August daytime highs near or slightly above the 30–31°C seasonal norm, with model consensus favoring peak readings of 29–30°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited frontal activity. Recent seasonal outlooks highlight above-normal temperatures across eastern Japan through the period, consistent with ongoing summer heat patterns and no immediate typhoon or strong cooling signals in short-term guidance. Traders appear to weight these climatological baselines and early ensemble runs heavily, though afternoon convection or minor forecast adjustments could still shift the exact maximum within the narrow 28–31°C band ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 15 août ?
29°C 38%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
38%
30°C
32%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
24°C or below
$149 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$335 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,681 Vol.
6%
28°C
$747 Vol.
13%
29°C
$3,260 Vol.
38%
30°C
$717 Vol.
32%
31°C
$586 Vol.
10%
32°C
$131 Vol.
4%
33°C
$414 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Long-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-August daytime highs near or slightly above the 30–31°C seasonal norm, with model consensus favoring peak readings of 29–30°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited frontal activity. Recent seasonal outlooks highlight above-normal temperatures across eastern Japan through the period, consistent with ongoing summer heat patterns and no immediate typhoon or strong cooling signals in short-term guidance. Traders appear to weight these climatological baselines and early ensemble runs heavily, though afternoon convection or minor forecast adjustments could still shift the exact maximum within the narrow 28–31°C band ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,107Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Long-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-August daytime highs near or slightly above the 30–31°C seasonal norm, with model consensus favoring peak readings of 29–30°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited frontal activity. Recent seasonal outlooks highlight above-normal temperatures across eastern Japan through the period, consistent with ongoing summer heat patterns and no immediate typhoon or strong cooling signals in short-term guidance. Traders appear to weight these climatological baselines and early ensemble runs heavily, though afternoon convection or minor forecast adjustments could still shift the exact maximum within the narrow 28–31°C band ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,107Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Long-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-August daytime highs near or slightly above the 30–31°C seasonal norm, with model consensus favoring peak readings of 29–30°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited frontal activity. Recent seasonal outlooks highlight above-normal temperatures across eastern Japan through the period, consistent with ongoing summer heat patterns and no immediate typhoon or strong cooling signals in short-term guidance. Traders appear to weight these climatological baselines and early ensemble runs heavily, though afternoon convection or minor forecast adjustments could still shift the exact maximum within the narrow 28–31°C band ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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