Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a tight cluster of possible daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao on August 15 around 28–30°C, with light rain or showers likely to limit strong daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Coastal sea breezes from the Yellow Sea further moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where averages hover near 29°C. The near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C reflects residual ensemble spread in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or below 28°C capture the narrower uncertainty range two days out. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 15 août ?
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 23%
28°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
25°C ou moins
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
15%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
23%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 23%
28°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$13 Vol.
1%
26°C
$9 Vol.
3%
27°C
$3 Vol.
3%
28°C
$14 Vol.
15%
29°C
$15 Vol.
27%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$22 Vol.
23%
32°C
$381 Vol.
10%
33°C
$124 Vol.
2%
34°C
$54 Vol.
1%
35°C ou plus
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a tight cluster of possible daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao on August 15 around 28–30°C, with light rain or showers likely to limit strong daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Coastal sea breezes from the Yellow Sea further moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where averages hover near 29°C. The near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C reflects residual ensemble spread in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or below 28°C capture the narrower uncertainty range two days out. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$749Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a tight cluster of possible daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao on August 15 around 28–30°C, with light rain or showers likely to limit strong daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Coastal sea breezes from the Yellow Sea further moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where averages hover near 29°C. The near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C reflects residual ensemble spread in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or below 28°C capture the narrower uncertainty range two days out. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$749Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a tight cluster of possible daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao on August 15 around 28–30°C, with light rain or showers likely to limit strong daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Coastal sea breezes from the Yellow Sea further moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where averages hover near 29°C. The near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C reflects residual ensemble spread in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or below 28°C capture the narrower uncertainty range two days out. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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