Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 31°C in Wuhan on August 15 amid light rain or thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and variable steering winds introduce uncertainty that explains the spread favoring 30-32°C. Cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer August averages of 33-35°C, while model consensus on modest warming supports the clustered trader sentiment. Updated regional guidance ahead of the 48-hour window remains the key variable for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 15 août ?
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
25°C or below
$39 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24 Vol.
1%
28°C
$400 Vol.
7%
29°C
$195 Vol.
11%
30°C
$332 Vol.
25%
31°C
$652 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,879 Vol.
22%
33°C
$171 Vol.
4%
34°C
$95 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$258 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 31°C in Wuhan on August 15 amid light rain or thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and variable steering winds introduce uncertainty that explains the spread favoring 30-32°C. Cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer August averages of 33-35°C, while model consensus on modest warming supports the clustered trader sentiment. Updated regional guidance ahead of the 48-hour window remains the key variable for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,062Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 31°C in Wuhan on August 15 amid light rain or thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and variable steering winds introduce uncertainty that explains the spread favoring 30-32°C. Cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer August averages of 33-35°C, while model consensus on modest warming supports the clustered trader sentiment. Updated regional guidance ahead of the 48-hour window remains the key variable for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,062Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 31°C in Wuhan on August 15 amid light rain or thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and variable steering winds introduce uncertainty that explains the spread favoring 30-32°C. Cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress daytime maxima by several degrees compared to clearer August averages of 33-35°C, while model consensus on modest warming supports the clustered trader sentiment. Updated regional guidance ahead of the 48-hour window remains the key variable for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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