Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 15°C in Moscow on August 13 amid cloudy skies, light winds, and possible sprinkles, cooler than the monthly average of 19–22°C. This pattern stems from a passing weather system advecting cooler air masses northward, limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning the highest probabilities to 15–16°C while assigning low odds to warmer thresholds that would require rapid model shifts or clearer conditions. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed temperature anomalies on August 12 could further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 13 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 13 août ?
16°C 38%
15°C 25%
17°C 22%
14°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
25%
16°C
38%
17°C
22%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 38%
15°C 25%
17°C 22%
14°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$1,473 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$311 Vol.
4%
14°C
$884 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,087 Vol.
25%
16°C
$439 Vol.
38%
17°C
$876 Vol.
22%
18°C
$829 Vol.
6%
19°C
$279 Vol.
2%
20°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 15°C in Moscow on August 13 amid cloudy skies, light winds, and possible sprinkles, cooler than the monthly average of 19–22°C. This pattern stems from a passing weather system advecting cooler air masses northward, limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning the highest probabilities to 15–16°C while assigning low odds to warmer thresholds that would require rapid model shifts or clearer conditions. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed temperature anomalies on August 12 could further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,372Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 15°C in Moscow on August 13 amid cloudy skies, light winds, and possible sprinkles, cooler than the monthly average of 19–22°C. This pattern stems from a passing weather system advecting cooler air masses northward, limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning the highest probabilities to 15–16°C while assigning low odds to warmer thresholds that would require rapid model shifts or clearer conditions. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed temperature anomalies on August 12 could further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,372Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 15°C in Moscow on August 13 amid cloudy skies, light winds, and possible sprinkles, cooler than the monthly average of 19–22°C. This pattern stems from a passing weather system advecting cooler air masses northward, limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning the highest probabilities to 15–16°C while assigning low odds to warmer thresholds that would require rapid model shifts or clearer conditions. Updated runs from national meteorological services and any observed temperature anomalies on August 12 could further refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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