Short-term forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models position mid-30s Celsius as the most likely peak for Taipei on August 12, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Historical August averages place daily highs near 32–34 °C, so the market’s emphasis on 36 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (28 %) implies expectations of above-normal warmth driven by stable high-pressure patterns rather than typhoon-related cooling or heavy rain. Recent model runs show modest consensus on minimal precipitation through mid-month, supporting higher maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated guidance from official agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Taipei le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Taipei le 12 août ?
36°C 54%
37°C 46%
35°C 24%
33°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
8%
34°C
6%
35°C
24%
36°C
39%
37°C
28%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 54%
37°C 46%
35°C 24%
33°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C
$84 Vol.
7%
33°C
$21 Vol.
8%
34°C
$13 Vol.
6%
35°C
$12 Vol.
24%
36°C
$108 Vol.
39%
37°C
$91 Vol.
28%
38°C
$0 Vol.
6%
39°C or higher
$33 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models position mid-30s Celsius as the most likely peak for Taipei on August 12, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Historical August averages place daily highs near 32–34 °C, so the market’s emphasis on 36 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (28 %) implies expectations of above-normal warmth driven by stable high-pressure patterns rather than typhoon-related cooling or heavy rain. Recent model runs show modest consensus on minimal precipitation through mid-month, supporting higher maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated guidance from official agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$382Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models position mid-30s Celsius as the most likely peak for Taipei on August 12, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Historical August averages place daily highs near 32–34 °C, so the market’s emphasis on 36 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (28 %) implies expectations of above-normal warmth driven by stable high-pressure patterns rather than typhoon-related cooling or heavy rain. Recent model runs show modest consensus on minimal precipitation through mid-month, supporting higher maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated guidance from official agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$382Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models position mid-30s Celsius as the most likely peak for Taipei on August 12, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating. Historical August averages place daily highs near 32–34 °C, so the market’s emphasis on 36 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (28 %) implies expectations of above-normal warmth driven by stable high-pressure patterns rather than typhoon-related cooling or heavy rain. Recent model runs show modest consensus on minimal precipitation through mid-month, supporting higher maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city can add 1–2 °C locally. Updated guidance from official agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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