Traders see the lowest Tokyo temperature on August 12 clustering near 22–24 °C because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a minimum around 22–23 °C under cloudy skies with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity and light winds reduce the diurnal range compared with clearer summer nights. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High provide a warm baseline, yet the near-term marine layer and precipitation keep extremes below 25 °C improbable. Market-implied odds therefore reflect uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 12 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 12 août ?
23°C 28%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 28%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
18°C or below
$34 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$6 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$26 Vol.
31%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1 Vol.
5%
27°C
$34 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest Tokyo temperature on August 12 clustering near 22–24 °C because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a minimum around 22–23 °C under cloudy skies with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity and light winds reduce the diurnal range compared with clearer summer nights. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High provide a warm baseline, yet the near-term marine layer and precipitation keep extremes below 25 °C improbable. Market-implied odds therefore reflect uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$162Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest Tokyo temperature on August 12 clustering near 22–24 °C because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a minimum around 22–23 °C under cloudy skies with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity and light winds reduce the diurnal range compared with clearer summer nights. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High provide a warm baseline, yet the near-term marine layer and precipitation keep extremes below 25 °C improbable. Market-implied odds therefore reflect uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$162Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest Tokyo temperature on August 12 clustering near 22–24 °C because Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a minimum around 22–23 °C under cloudy skies with scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while high humidity and light winds reduce the diurnal range compared with clearer summer nights. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High provide a warm baseline, yet the near-term marine layer and precipitation keep extremes below 25 °C improbable. Market-implied odds therefore reflect uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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