Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 10 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 10 août ?
29°C 41%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
41%
30°C
23%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 41%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
23°C or below
$272 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$34 Vol.
1%
26°C
$173 Vol.
1%
27°C
$620 Vol.
4%
28°C
$423 Vol.
22%
29°C
$573 Vol.
41%
30°C
$675 Vol.
23%
31°C
$853 Vol.
8%
32°C
$817 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$244 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,893Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,893Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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