Ongoing national heatwave conditions, with South Korea posting record highs near 42.5°C days earlier and Seoul-area readings reaching 39°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 8. Persistent high-pressure ridging favors strong daytime heating and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, yet short-range KMA and ensemble guidance show modest spread from variable cloud cover, light easterly flow, and any late-day shower potential that could cap the peak. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the observed 35°C lead, with resolution hinging on the official 9 a.m.–5 p.m. KMA reading at the coastal station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 8 août ?
35°C 31%
36°C 25%
34°C 23%
33°C 20%
31°C or below
6%
32°C
7%
33°C
20%
34°C
23%
35°C
31%
36°C
25%
37°C
9%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
36°C 25%
34°C 23%
33°C 20%
31°C or below
6%
32°C
7%
33°C
20%
34°C
23%
35°C
31%
36°C
25%
37°C
9%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing national heatwave conditions, with South Korea posting record highs near 42.5°C days earlier and Seoul-area readings reaching 39°C, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 8. Persistent high-pressure ridging favors strong daytime heating and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, yet short-range KMA and ensemble guidance show modest spread from variable cloud cover, light easterly flow, and any late-day shower potential that could cap the peak. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the observed 35°C lead, with resolution hinging on the official 9 a.m.–5 p.m. KMA reading at the coastal station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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