Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C and 27°C minimums in Tokyo on August 8 because current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster around 24–26°C overnight lows, with limited radiative cooling expected under persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Typical August climatology features average daily lows near 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly warmer guidance tied to weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, which reduces the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling. Key variables that could shift the outcome between 26°C and 27°C include precise dew-point forecasts and any late-day sea-breeze effects near the urban core. With resolution just two days away, updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and next model cycles will likely narrow the range further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 8 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 8 août ?
27°C 46%
26°C 43%
24°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
43%
27°C
46%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
27°C 46%
26°C 43%
24°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$51 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$69 Vol.
1%
23°C
$86 Vol.
1%
24°C
$93 Vol.
6%
25°C
$77 Vol.
5%
26°C
$137 Vol.
43%
27°C
$1,316 Vol.
46%
28°C
$70 Vol.
3%
29°C
$144 Vol.
2%
30°C
$56 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$61 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C and 27°C minimums in Tokyo on August 8 because current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster around 24–26°C overnight lows, with limited radiative cooling expected under persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Typical August climatology features average daily lows near 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly warmer guidance tied to weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, which reduces the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling. Key variables that could shift the outcome between 26°C and 27°C include precise dew-point forecasts and any late-day sea-breeze effects near the urban core. With resolution just two days away, updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and next model cycles will likely narrow the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,161Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C and 27°C minimums in Tokyo on August 8 because current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster around 24–26°C overnight lows, with limited radiative cooling expected under persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Typical August climatology features average daily lows near 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly warmer guidance tied to weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, which reduces the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling. Key variables that could shift the outcome between 26°C and 27°C include precise dew-point forecasts and any late-day sea-breeze effects near the urban core. With resolution just two days away, updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and next model cycles will likely narrow the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,161Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C and 27°C minimums in Tokyo on August 8 because current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster around 24–26°C overnight lows, with limited radiative cooling expected under persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Typical August climatology features average daily lows near 24–25°C, but recent model runs show slightly warmer guidance tied to weak southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, which reduces the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling. Key variables that could shift the outcome between 26°C and 27°C include precise dew-point forecasts and any late-day sea-breeze effects near the urban core. With resolution just two days away, updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and next model cycles will likely narrow the range further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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