Forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light winds on August 6, favoring strong daytime heating in the city's continental climate where surface temperatures often peak in the late afternoon. Consensus points to a maximum near 37°C, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection of warmer air from the south could push readings to 38°C at official stations. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, so the current setup represents an above-normal but not extreme episode, with resolution depending on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded by AEMET. Traders appear to weigh these narrow thermodynamic variables evenly between the two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 6 août ?
37°C 51%
38°C 48%
39°C 3%
36°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$24,507 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$24,507 Vol.
6 août 2026
33°C ou moins
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
51%
38°C
48%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C ou plus
<1%
37°C 51%
38°C 48%
39°C 3%
36°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$24,507 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$24,507 Vol.
6 août 2026
33°C ou moins
$877 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,387 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,420 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,033 Vol.
2%
37°C
$4,072 Vol.
51%
38°C
$4,669 Vol.
48%
39°C
$2,639 Vol.
3%
40°C
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$619 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
43°C ou plus
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light winds on August 6, favoring strong daytime heating in the city's continental climate where surface temperatures often peak in the late afternoon. Consensus points to a maximum near 37°C, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection of warmer air from the south could push readings to 38°C at official stations. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, so the current setup represents an above-normal but not extreme episode, with resolution depending on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded by AEMET. Traders appear to weigh these narrow thermodynamic variables evenly between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$24,507Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light winds on August 6, favoring strong daytime heating in the city's continental climate where surface temperatures often peak in the late afternoon. Consensus points to a maximum near 37°C, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection of warmer air from the south could push readings to 38°C at official stations. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, so the current setup represents an above-normal but not extreme episode, with resolution depending on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded by AEMET. Traders appear to weigh these narrow thermodynamic variables evenly between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,507Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with clear skies and light winds on August 6, favoring strong daytime heating in the city's continental climate where surface temperatures often peak in the late afternoon. Consensus points to a maximum near 37°C, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection of warmer air from the south could push readings to 38°C at official stations. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, so the current setup represents an above-normal but not extreme episode, with resolution depending on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded by AEMET. Traders appear to weigh these narrow thermodynamic variables evenly between the two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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