**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 5 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 5 août ?
34°C 98%
35°C 3%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
$83,756 Vol.
$83,756 Vol.
5 août 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
98%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
34°C 98%
35°C 3%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
$83,756 Vol.
$83,756 Vol.
5 août 2026
27°C ou moins
$765 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,520 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,863 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,213 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$11,406 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$14,221 Vol.
98%
35°C
$16,275 Vol.
3%
36°C
$12,998 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou plus
$8,738 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$83,756Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$83,756Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes