Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 5 août ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 5 août ?
28°C 94.9%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
5 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 94.9%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
5 août 2026
22°C or below
$663 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$885 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$839 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$732 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,392 Vol.
1%
28°C
$4,407 Vol.
95%
29°C
$1,838 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,339Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,339Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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