Recent forecast updates from major models place Munich's August 5 maximum near the 33–34°C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Ensemble runs show modest disagreement on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 1°C at official stations. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow support warm advection, yet scattered afternoon thunderstorms—common in Bavarian summer—may cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August maxima average near 25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and urban heat-island adjustments at city-center sites versus airport observations. Updated model cycles this afternoon represent the next key catalyst for any odds shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 5 août ?
34°C 44%
33°C 42%
35°C 12%
32°C 6%
$59,130 Vol.
$59,130 Vol.
5 août 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
42%
34°C
44%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
33°C 42%
35°C 12%
32°C 6%
$59,130 Vol.
$59,130 Vol.
5 août 2026
30°C or below
$4,283 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,258 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,039 Vol.
6%
33°C
$10,143 Vol.
42%
34°C
$8,832 Vol.
44%
35°C
$10,453 Vol.
12%
36°C
$8,601 Vol.
1%
37°C
$2,396 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from major models place Munich's August 5 maximum near the 33–34°C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Ensemble runs show modest disagreement on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 1°C at official stations. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow support warm advection, yet scattered afternoon thunderstorms—common in Bavarian summer—may cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August maxima average near 25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and urban heat-island adjustments at city-center sites versus airport observations. Updated model cycles this afternoon represent the next key catalyst for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$59,130Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from major models place Munich's August 5 maximum near the 33–34°C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Ensemble runs show modest disagreement on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 1°C at official stations. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow support warm advection, yet scattered afternoon thunderstorms—common in Bavarian summer—may cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August maxima average near 25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and urban heat-island adjustments at city-center sites versus airport observations. Updated model cycles this afternoon represent the next key catalyst for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,130Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from major models place Munich's August 5 maximum near the 33–34°C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Ensemble runs show modest disagreement on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by 1°C at official stations. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow support warm advection, yet scattered afternoon thunderstorms—common in Bavarian summer—may cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August maxima average near 25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and urban heat-island adjustments at city-center sites versus airport observations. Updated model cycles this afternoon represent the next key catalyst for any odds shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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