Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with light rain possible on August 5, 2026, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime heating near 33°C. This aligns with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome, reflecting observed conditions and model consensus on limited vertical mixing and high humidity that further moderates surface temperatures. Historical August averages of 32–35°C provide context, but the specific synoptic pattern of overcast skies has anchored the daily maximum. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected cloud dissipation or stronger afternoon insolation, potentially pushing readings to 34°C or higher before official verification closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 5 août ?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,542 Vol.
$123,542 Vol.
5 août 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,542 Vol.
$123,542 Vol.
5 août 2026
28°C or below
$259 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,088 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,930 Vol.
No
31°C
$16,559 Vol.
No
32°C
$21,436 Vol.
No
33°C
$31,469 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$16,085 Vol.
No
35°C
$18,615 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,839 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,325 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$939 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with light rain possible on August 5, 2026, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime heating near 33°C. This aligns with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome, reflecting observed conditions and model consensus on limited vertical mixing and high humidity that further moderates surface temperatures. Historical August averages of 32–35°C provide context, but the specific synoptic pattern of overcast skies has anchored the daily maximum. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected cloud dissipation or stronger afternoon insolation, potentially pushing readings to 34°C or higher before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$123,542Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with light rain possible on August 5, 2026, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime heating near 33°C. This aligns with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome, reflecting observed conditions and model consensus on limited vertical mixing and high humidity that further moderates surface temperatures. Historical August averages of 32–35°C provide context, but the specific synoptic pattern of overcast skies has anchored the daily maximum. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected cloud dissipation or stronger afternoon insolation, potentially pushing readings to 34°C or higher before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123,542Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with light rain possible on August 5, 2026, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime heating near 33°C. This aligns with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome, reflecting observed conditions and model consensus on limited vertical mixing and high humidity that further moderates surface temperatures. Historical August averages of 32–35°C provide context, but the specific synoptic pattern of overcast skies has anchored the daily maximum. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected cloud dissipation or stronger afternoon insolation, potentially pushing readings to 34°C or higher before official verification closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes