Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and ECMWF points to a high near 94–95°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that bin and 38.5% for 92–93°F. Typical August climatology features daily highs averaging 94°F amid high humidity and a dominant subtropical ridge, though early-month weakening of the ridge has allowed slight moderation from prior triple-digit peaks. Official guidance emphasizes partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating, while historical analogs show mid-90s as the most frequent outcome under similar steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these stable forecast trends against minor model spread in afternoon mixing and moisture.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 7 août ?
94-95 °F 53%
92-93°F 39%
90-91°F 6%
96-97°F 6%
NOUVEAU
$10,179 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,179 Vol.
7 août 2026
85°F ou moins
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
39%
94-95 °F
53%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F ou plus
<1%
94-95 °F 53%
92-93°F 39%
90-91°F 6%
96-97°F 6%
NOUVEAU
$10,179 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,179 Vol.
7 août 2026
85°F ou moins
$580 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$548 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$973 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$967 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$1,207 Vol.
39%
94-95 °F
$2,659 Vol.
53%
96-97°F
$1,240 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$337 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$291 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$966 Vol.
<1%
104°F ou plus
$413 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and ECMWF points to a high near 94–95°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that bin and 38.5% for 92–93°F. Typical August climatology features daily highs averaging 94°F amid high humidity and a dominant subtropical ridge, though early-month weakening of the ridge has allowed slight moderation from prior triple-digit peaks. Official guidance emphasizes partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating, while historical analogs show mid-90s as the most frequent outcome under similar steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these stable forecast trends against minor model spread in afternoon mixing and moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,179Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and ECMWF points to a high near 94–95°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that bin and 38.5% for 92–93°F. Typical August climatology features daily highs averaging 94°F amid high humidity and a dominant subtropical ridge, though early-month weakening of the ridge has allowed slight moderation from prior triple-digit peaks. Official guidance emphasizes partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating, while historical analogs show mid-90s as the most frequent outcome under similar steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these stable forecast trends against minor model spread in afternoon mixing and moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,179Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and ECMWF points to a high near 94–95°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that bin and 38.5% for 92–93°F. Typical August climatology features daily highs averaging 94°F amid high humidity and a dominant subtropical ridge, though early-month weakening of the ridge has allowed slight moderation from prior triple-digit peaks. Official guidance emphasizes partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating, while historical analogs show mid-90s as the most frequent outcome under similar steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh these stable forecast trends against minor model spread in afternoon mixing and moisture.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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