Recent PAGASA and AccuWeather forecasts for Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. High humidity and frequent rainfall reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping values aligned with August climatology of roughly 31°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this short range, yet localized convective timing could shift the observed high by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical analogs showing occasional 33°C spikes when monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 9 août ?
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
31°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
32%
30°C
20%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C ou plus
6%
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
31°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$281 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$165 Vol.
1%
25°C
$292 Vol.
1%
26°C
$43 Vol.
2%
27°C
$43 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$61 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$12 Vol.
13%
32°C
$54 Vol.
3%
33°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and AccuWeather forecasts for Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. High humidity and frequent rainfall reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping values aligned with August climatology of roughly 31°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this short range, yet localized convective timing could shift the observed high by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical analogs showing occasional 33°C spikes when monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$952Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and AccuWeather forecasts for Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. High humidity and frequent rainfall reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping values aligned with August climatology of roughly 31°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this short range, yet localized convective timing could shift the observed high by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical analogs showing occasional 33°C spikes when monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$952Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA and AccuWeather forecasts for Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C on August 9 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. High humidity and frequent rainfall reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping values aligned with August climatology of roughly 31°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability at this short range, yet localized convective timing could shift the observed high by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical analogs showing occasional 33°C spikes when monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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