Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 9 août ?
33°C 33%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
33%
34°C
16%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
27°C or below
$141 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$87 Vol.
1%
29°C
$144 Vol.
3%
30°C
$29 Vol.
3%
31°C
$109 Vol.
14%
32°C
$51 Vol.
32%
33°C
$99 Vol.
33%
34°C
$33 Vol.
16%
35°C
$272 Vol.
9%
36°C
$105 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,097Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,097Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 9 with daytime maxima centered near 32–34°C, reflecting typical mid-August conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system that promotes hot, humid air advection from the Pacific. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and scattered shower potential, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo sustain nighttime minima near 25°C and elevate daytime values. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical August averages around 31°C and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities as steering patterns and moisture fields evolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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