Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 6 août ?
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$18,109 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,109 Vol.
6 août 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
46%
34°C
31%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$18,109 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,109 Vol.
6 août 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,053 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,393 Vol.
5%
32°C
$3,752 Vol.
17%
33°C
$1,909 Vol.
46%
34°C
$3,345 Vol.
31%
35°C
$2,334 Vol.
7%
36°C
$986 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$823 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$18,109Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,109Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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