Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 5 août ?
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 16%
23°C 2%
$71,873 Vol.
$71,873 Vol.
5 août 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
51%
26°C
31%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 16%
23°C 2%
$71,873 Vol.
$71,873 Vol.
5 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$537 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,180 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,281 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,968 Vol.
2%
24°C
$7,734 Vol.
16%
25°C
$10,639 Vol.
51%
26°C
$7,837 Vol.
31%
27°C
$8,629 Vol.
1%
28°C
$4,429 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,444 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$13,194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$71,873Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,873Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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