Forecast models from the Met Office and European centers point to overnight lows near 14–15°C in London on August 6, driven by a strengthening westerly breeze and clearer conditions that promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low 20s°C. This aligns with August climatology, where average minima hover around 13–14°C, though recent days have trended slightly warmer before the current fresher pattern. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most probable floor, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant cold advection, while 14°C retains notable support if skies clear further. Updated Met Office guidance through the weekend and any overnight observations on August 5 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 6 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 6 août ?
15°C 64%
14°C 25%
13°C 7%
16°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
25%
15°C
64%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 64%
14°C 25%
13°C 7%
16°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
10°C or below
$396 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$321 Vol.
1%
13°C
$328 Vol.
7%
14°C
$805 Vol.
25%
15°C
$2,436 Vol.
64%
16°C
$331 Vol.
7%
17°C
$321 Vol.
1%
18°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and European centers point to overnight lows near 14–15°C in London on August 6, driven by a strengthening westerly breeze and clearer conditions that promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low 20s°C. This aligns with August climatology, where average minima hover around 13–14°C, though recent days have trended slightly warmer before the current fresher pattern. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most probable floor, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant cold advection, while 14°C retains notable support if skies clear further. Updated Met Office guidance through the weekend and any overnight observations on August 5 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,992Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and European centers point to overnight lows near 14–15°C in London on August 6, driven by a strengthening westerly breeze and clearer conditions that promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low 20s°C. This aligns with August climatology, where average minima hover around 13–14°C, though recent days have trended slightly warmer before the current fresher pattern. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most probable floor, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant cold advection, while 14°C retains notable support if skies clear further. Updated Met Office guidance through the weekend and any overnight observations on August 5 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,992Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and European centers point to overnight lows near 14–15°C in London on August 6, driven by a strengthening westerly breeze and clearer conditions that promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low 20s°C. This aligns with August climatology, where average minima hover around 13–14°C, though recent days have trended slightly warmer before the current fresher pattern. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most probable floor, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant cold advection, while 14°C retains notable support if skies clear further. Updated Met Office guidance through the weekend and any overnight observations on August 5 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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