**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.** The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 5 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Busan le 5 août ?
35°C 95%
36°C 4%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$30,840 Vol.
$30,840 Vol.
5 août 2026
30°C ou moins
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
95%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 95%
36°C 4%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$30,840 Vol.
$30,840 Vol.
5 août 2026
30°C ou moins
$631 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$764 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,841 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,746 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,898 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,548 Vol.
95%
36°C
$4,313 Vol.
4%
37°C
$2,871 Vol.
1%
38°C
$2,856 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
40°C ou plus
$662 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$30,840Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,840Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, reinforced by a strong North Pacific high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35°C as the dominant market outcome for Busan’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026.** The Korea Meteorological Administration maintains heatwave warnings and emergency alerts for Busan districts, reflecting sustained daytime solar heating under minimal cloud cover and warm, humid southerly flow. Regional observations, including nearby stations exceeding 38–42°C in recent days, align with elevated sea-surface temperatures that suppress nocturnal cooling and support tropical-night patterns. These factors have shifted the daily maximum well above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent trends favor a peak near 35°C, with 36°C remaining plausible if insolation peaks higher than expected; outcomes above 37°C carry low implied probability given current steering patterns and the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Market pricing aggregates trader assessment of these official forecasts and real-time observational updates ahead of KMA’s final daily high determination.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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