Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32°C for August 6, with a range of 27–32°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of isolated showers, aligning with the market’s narrow lead for that threshold. Seasonal outlooks from the same agency indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture and urban heat retention keeps 31°C and 33°C within close contention. Afternoon convection typical of the season can cap peaks below model guidance if showers develop early, while clearer periods allow readings to edge higher; traders therefore weigh the latest model runs and observational updates that refine peak timing and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 6 août ?
33°C 35%
32°C 34%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
$36,108 Vol.
$36,108 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
34%
33°C
35%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 34%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
$36,108 Vol.
$36,108 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
34%
33°C
35%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 32°C for August 6, with a range of 27–32°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of isolated showers, aligning with the market’s narrow lead for that threshold. Seasonal outlooks from the same agency indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture and urban heat retention keeps 31°C and 33°C within close contention. Afternoon convection typical of the season can cap peaks below model guidance if showers develop early, while clearer periods allow readings to edge higher; traders therefore weigh the latest model runs and observational updates that refine peak timing and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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