Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 27–29°C on August 7 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, where elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Typical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current model guidance highlights modest warming from southeasterly flow and scattered convective activity that could raise the floor. The near-even market-implied odds across 27–29°C reflect traders weighing these variables against short-term model spread, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from local stations. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours may shift sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 7 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 7 août ?
28°C 36%
29°C 30%
27°C 15%
25°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
33%
28°C
52%
29°C
30%
30°C
1%
31°C
14%
32°C
9%
33°C ou plus
1%
28°C 36%
29°C 30%
27°C 15%
25°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$45 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$25 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
52%
29°C
$0 Vol.
30%
30°C
$18 Vol.
1%
31°C
$38 Vol.
14%
32°C
$45 Vol.
9%
33°C ou plus
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 27–29°C on August 7 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, where elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Typical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current model guidance highlights modest warming from southeasterly flow and scattered convective activity that could raise the floor. The near-even market-implied odds across 27–29°C reflect traders weighing these variables against short-term model spread, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from local stations. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours may shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$228Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 27–29°C on August 7 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, where elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Typical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current model guidance highlights modest warming from southeasterly flow and scattered convective activity that could raise the floor. The near-even market-implied odds across 27–29°C reflect traders weighing these variables against short-term model spread, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from local stations. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours may shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 27–29°C on August 7 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, where elevated humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Typical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current model guidance highlights modest warming from southeasterly flow and scattered convective activity that could raise the floor. The near-even market-implied odds across 27–29°C reflect traders weighing these variables against short-term model spread, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from local stations. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours may shift sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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