**Persistent rain and cloud cover have suppressed recent daily maxima in Chongqing below typical August levels of 32–35°C, but forecasts for August 5 point to a rebound toward 34°C as the primary driver of the market’s strong 68.5% consensus on that outcome.** Official guidance and numerical models highlight patchy rain easing, allowing greater solar heating under subtropical summer conditions while high humidity (often 70–90%) and the region’s basin topography limit further warming. This positions 34°C ahead of 35°C (17%) and 33°C (14.5%), with very low odds on extremes reflecting limited model spread and historical analogs showing modest day-to-day variability when precipitation timing aligns. Traders are weighting the latest agency updates and ensemble runs showing a peak near the 34°C threshold, with resolution depending on verified station observations by day’s end. Any unexpected clearing could nudge readings higher, though current data keep significant upward shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 5 août ?
34°C 69%
35°C 16%
33°C 15%
36°C or higher 1.9%
$32,569 Vol.
$32,569 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
15%
34°C
69%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
2%
34°C 69%
35°C 16%
33°C 15%
36°C or higher 1.9%
$32,569 Vol.
$32,569 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
15%
34°C
69%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain and cloud cover have suppressed recent daily maxima in Chongqing below typical August levels of 32–35°C, but forecasts for August 5 point to a rebound toward 34°C as the primary driver of the market’s strong 68.5% consensus on that outcome.** Official guidance and numerical models highlight patchy rain easing, allowing greater solar heating under subtropical summer conditions while high humidity (often 70–90%) and the region’s basin topography limit further warming. This positions 34°C ahead of 35°C (17%) and 33°C (14.5%), with very low odds on extremes reflecting limited model spread and historical analogs showing modest day-to-day variability when precipitation timing aligns. Traders are weighting the latest agency updates and ensemble runs showing a peak near the 34°C threshold, with resolution depending on verified station observations by day’s end. Any unexpected clearing could nudge readings higher, though current data keep significant upward shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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