Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate thundershowers and generally cloudy skies over Uttar Pradesh around August 8, with daytime highs expected near 32–34°C amid active monsoon conditions. These factors limit intense solar heating while high humidity sustains heat indices, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 33°C and 34°C. Minor variations in rainfall timing or cloud cover could shift the observed maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the narrow spread versus lower-probability outcomes farther from the consensus. Typical August climatology for Lucknow shows mean maxima near 31–32°C, but persistent moisture and variable convection this week introduce the uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 8 août ?
34°C 38%
33°C 28%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
14%
33°C
28%
34°C
38%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
4%
34°C 38%
33°C 28%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
26°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$10 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
28%
34°C
$30 Vol.
38%
35°C
$7 Vol.
14%
36°C or higher
$3 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate thundershowers and generally cloudy skies over Uttar Pradesh around August 8, with daytime highs expected near 32–34°C amid active monsoon conditions. These factors limit intense solar heating while high humidity sustains heat indices, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 33°C and 34°C. Minor variations in rainfall timing or cloud cover could shift the observed maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the narrow spread versus lower-probability outcomes farther from the consensus. Typical August climatology for Lucknow shows mean maxima near 31–32°C, but persistent moisture and variable convection this week introduce the uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$80Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate thundershowers and generally cloudy skies over Uttar Pradesh around August 8, with daytime highs expected near 32–34°C amid active monsoon conditions. These factors limit intense solar heating while high humidity sustains heat indices, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 33°C and 34°C. Minor variations in rainfall timing or cloud cover could shift the observed maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the narrow spread versus lower-probability outcomes farther from the consensus. Typical August climatology for Lucknow shows mean maxima near 31–32°C, but persistent moisture and variable convection this week introduce the uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models indicate thundershowers and generally cloudy skies over Uttar Pradesh around August 8, with daytime highs expected near 32–34°C amid active monsoon conditions. These factors limit intense solar heating while high humidity sustains heat indices, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 33°C and 34°C. Minor variations in rainfall timing or cloud cover could shift the observed maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the narrow spread versus lower-probability outcomes farther from the consensus. Typical August climatology for Lucknow shows mean maxima near 31–32°C, but persistent moisture and variable convection this week introduce the uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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