Latest short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS place the expected daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 8 near 32–33 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean summer regime. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit sea-breeze moderation, supporting temperatures modestly above the long-term early-August average of roughly 30–31 °C. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, producing the current market-implied probabilities that heavily favor 32 °C (56 %) and 33 °C (35.5 %). With resolution imminent, further updates to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts could still adjust the final verified reading within the narrow 31–34 °C window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 8 août ?
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
56%
33°C
35%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
56%
33°C
35%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS place the expected daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 8 near 32–33 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the eastern Mediterranean summer regime. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit sea-breeze moderation, supporting temperatures modestly above the long-term early-August average of roughly 30–31 °C. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, producing the current market-implied probabilities that heavily favor 32 °C (56 %) and 33 °C (35.5 %). With resolution imminent, further updates to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts could still adjust the final verified reading within the narrow 31–34 °C window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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