Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 8 août ?
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
27°C 27%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
25%
26°C
34%
27°C
27%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
27°C 27%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$43 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$156 Vol.
10%
25°C
$118 Vol.
25%
26°C
$5 Vol.
34%
27°C
$6 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$11 Vol.
3%
30°C
$18 Vol.
2%
31°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$388Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$388Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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