Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and the UKV highlight a warm, mostly sunny pattern for London on August 8, with daytime maxima forecast near 27–28 °C—well above the 1991–2020 August average of roughly 23 °C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects in central districts support the higher end of guidance, while minor variations in timing of any residual moisture or Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between 26 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the designated London station. Updated model cycles through the weekend remain the key catalyst likely to shift the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 8 août ?
27°C 41%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
15%
27°C
41%
28°C
29%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
23°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$189 Vol.
7%
26°C
$107 Vol.
15%
27°C
$469 Vol.
41%
28°C
$46 Vol.
29%
29°C
$32 Vol.
10%
30°C
$46 Vol.
3%
31°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and the UKV highlight a warm, mostly sunny pattern for London on August 8, with daytime maxima forecast near 27–28 °C—well above the 1991–2020 August average of roughly 23 °C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects in central districts support the higher end of guidance, while minor variations in timing of any residual moisture or Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between 26 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the designated London station. Updated model cycles through the weekend remain the key catalyst likely to shift the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,046Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and the UKV highlight a warm, mostly sunny pattern for London on August 8, with daytime maxima forecast near 27–28 °C—well above the 1991–2020 August average of roughly 23 °C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects in central districts support the higher end of guidance, while minor variations in timing of any residual moisture or Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between 26 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the designated London station. Updated model cycles through the weekend remain the key catalyst likely to shift the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,046Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and the UKV highlight a warm, mostly sunny pattern for London on August 8, with daytime maxima forecast near 27–28 °C—well above the 1991–2020 August average of roughly 23 °C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects in central districts support the higher end of guidance, while minor variations in timing of any residual moisture or Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between 26 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs most heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the designated London station. Updated model cycles through the weekend remain the key catalyst likely to shift the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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