Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that support efficient diurnal heating without strong convective cooling. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and positions 32°C (36% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5% implied probability) as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of anomalous warming given current steering patterns and moisture. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official advisories for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 8 août ?
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
36%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C ou plus
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$688 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$176 Vol.
3%
30°C
$446 Vol.
12%
31°C
$127 Vol.
26%
32°C
$473 Vol.
36%
33°C
$705 Vol.
16%
34°C
$295 Vol.
4%
35°C
$160 Vol.
3%
36°C ou plus
$610 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that support efficient diurnal heating without strong convective cooling. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and positions 32°C (36% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5% implied probability) as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of anomalous warming given current steering patterns and moisture. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official advisories for any revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,812Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that support efficient diurnal heating without strong convective cooling. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and positions 32°C (36% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5% implied probability) as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of anomalous warming given current steering patterns and moisture. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official advisories for any revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,812Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that support efficient diurnal heating without strong convective cooling. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and positions 32°C (36% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5% implied probability) as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of anomalous warming given current steering patterns and moisture. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official advisories for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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