Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 8 août ?
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
38%
25°C
29%
26°C
12%
27°C
1%
28°C ou plus
1%
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$501 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,230 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$401 Vol.
1%
21°C
$217 Vol.
2%
22°C
$209 Vol.
5%
23°C
$396 Vol.
20%
24°C
$303 Vol.
38%
25°C
$217 Vol.
29%
26°C
$691 Vol.
12%
27°C
$128 Vol.
1%
28°C ou plus
$106 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,359Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,359Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high temperature on August 8 is expected near the seasonal average of 23–24°C, with trader sentiment reflecting forecast uncertainty from the wet season's cloud cover, showers, and convective activity. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, daytime maxima are moderated by reduced solar insolation under overcast skies and evaporative cooling from rainfall, as indicated by models projecting a high around 74°F (23°C) with late-day precipitation. This aligns closely with August climatology showing typical highs of 23–25°C and explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 23–25°C outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these variables before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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