Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 25–27°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s peak temperature on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (37%), 25°C (19.5%), and 27°C (19%). The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season patterns—marked by afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers—typically suppress maximum readings to seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model consensus through early August shows stable steering patterns and modest instability that favor this narrow band rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh these climatological controls heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting limited upside potential absent unusual clear-sky development.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 6 août ?
26°C 37%
25°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
23°C ou moins
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
20%
26°C
37%
27°C
19%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C ou plus
2%
26°C 37%
25°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$13 Vol.
2%
24°C
$13 Vol.
4%
25°C
$21 Vol.
20%
26°C
$28 Vol.
37%
27°C
$13 Vol.
19%
28°C
$7 Vol.
4%
29°C
$14 Vol.
2%
30°C
$15 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$38 Vol.
1%
33°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 25–27°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s peak temperature on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (37%), 25°C (19.5%), and 27°C (19%). The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season patterns—marked by afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers—typically suppress maximum readings to seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model consensus through early August shows stable steering patterns and modest instability that favor this narrow band rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh these climatological controls heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting limited upside potential absent unusual clear-sky development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$163Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 25–27°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s peak temperature on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (37%), 25°C (19.5%), and 27°C (19%). The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season patterns—marked by afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers—typically suppress maximum readings to seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model consensus through early August shows stable steering patterns and modest instability that favor this narrow band rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh these climatological controls heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting limited upside potential absent unusual clear-sky development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$163Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 25–27°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s peak temperature on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (37%), 25°C (19.5%), and 27°C (19%). The city’s high elevation near 2,240 meters and August rainy-season patterns—marked by afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers—typically suppress maximum readings to seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model consensus through early August shows stable steering patterns and modest instability that favor this narrow band rather than extremes. Traders appear to weigh these climatological controls heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting limited upside potential absent unusual clear-sky development.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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