Official measurements from Mexico's national weather service recorded a daily maximum of 26°C in Mexico City on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This value aligns with typical early-August climatology for the high-elevation basin, where daytime highs average near 25–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Recent model guidance and station data showed no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with limited afternoon convection keeping temperatures from exceeding the observed peak. A measurement revision or reanalysis incorporating additional stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban reporting sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 4 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 4 août ?
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,155 Vol.
$29,155 Vol.
4 août 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,155 Vol.
$29,155 Vol.
4 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,109 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,250 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,666 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$687 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Mexico's national weather service recorded a daily maximum of 26°C in Mexico City on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This value aligns with typical early-August climatology for the high-elevation basin, where daytime highs average near 25–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Recent model guidance and station data showed no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with limited afternoon convection keeping temperatures from exceeding the observed peak. A measurement revision or reanalysis incorporating additional stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$29,155Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Mexico's national weather service recorded a daily maximum of 26°C in Mexico City on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This value aligns with typical early-August climatology for the high-elevation basin, where daytime highs average near 25–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Recent model guidance and station data showed no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with limited afternoon convection keeping temperatures from exceeding the observed peak. A measurement revision or reanalysis incorporating additional stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,155Date de fin
4 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from Mexico's national weather service recorded a daily maximum of 26°C in Mexico City on August 4, driving near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. This value aligns with typical early-August climatology for the high-elevation basin, where daytime highs average near 25–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Recent model guidance and station data showed no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with limited afternoon convection keeping temperatures from exceeding the observed peak. A measurement revision or reanalysis incorporating additional stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban reporting sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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