Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F for Denver on August 8 under sunny conditions and a heat advisory, following record-setting heat earlier in the month including 102°F on August 3. Traders have priced 100-101°F as the modal outcome at 46.5% implied probability, ahead of 98-99°F at 35%, likely incorporating model spread, urban heat island effects at the resolution station, and potential for stronger daytime heating amid low humidity and clear skies typical of late-summer high-pressure patterns. Historical August extremes, such as the 105°F record from 1878, provide context but current guidance shows limited upward bias beyond 99°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Denver le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Denver le 8 août ?
100-101°F 47%
98-99 °F 36%
96-97 °F 10%
102-103°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
89°F ou moins
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93 °F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97 °F
10%
98-99 °F
36%
100-101°F
47%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106-107 °F
<1%
108°F ou plus
<1%
100-101°F 47%
98-99 °F 36%
96-97 °F 10%
102-103°F 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
89°F ou moins
$243 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$800 Vol.
<1%
92-93 °F
$219 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$174 Vol.
2%
96-97 °F
$205 Vol.
10%
98-99 °F
$218 Vol.
36%
100-101°F
$200 Vol.
47%
102-103°F
$149 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$337 Vol.
2%
106-107 °F
$100 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou plus
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F for Denver on August 8 under sunny conditions and a heat advisory, following record-setting heat earlier in the month including 102°F on August 3. Traders have priced 100-101°F as the modal outcome at 46.5% implied probability, ahead of 98-99°F at 35%, likely incorporating model spread, urban heat island effects at the resolution station, and potential for stronger daytime heating amid low humidity and clear skies typical of late-summer high-pressure patterns. Historical August extremes, such as the 105°F record from 1878, provide context but current guidance shows limited upward bias beyond 99°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,754Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F for Denver on August 8 under sunny conditions and a heat advisory, following record-setting heat earlier in the month including 102°F on August 3. Traders have priced 100-101°F as the modal outcome at 46.5% implied probability, ahead of 98-99°F at 35%, likely incorporating model spread, urban heat island effects at the resolution station, and potential for stronger daytime heating amid low humidity and clear skies typical of late-summer high-pressure patterns. Historical August extremes, such as the 105°F record from 1878, provide context but current guidance shows limited upward bias beyond 99°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,754Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F for Denver on August 8 under sunny conditions and a heat advisory, following record-setting heat earlier in the month including 102°F on August 3. Traders have priced 100-101°F as the modal outcome at 46.5% implied probability, ahead of 98-99°F at 35%, likely incorporating model spread, urban heat island effects at the resolution station, and potential for stronger daytime heating amid low humidity and clear skies typical of late-summer high-pressure patterns. Historical August extremes, such as the 105°F record from 1878, provide context but current guidance shows limited upward bias beyond 99°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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