Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport on August 8. High humidity from the North Pacific High limits nocturnal temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect around Seoul-Incheon raises baseline lows relative to rural sites. Minor variability in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities at 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range forecasts and next KMA briefing will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 8 août ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 8 août ?
28°C 43%
27°C 35%
26°C 16%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
35%
28°C
43%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
28°C 43%
27°C 35%
26°C 16%
29°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$91 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$51 Vol.
1%
23°C
$275 Vol.
2%
24°C
$102 Vol.
2%
25°C
$58 Vol.
5%
26°C
$88 Vol.
16%
27°C
$171 Vol.
35%
28°C
$393 Vol.
43%
29°C
$111 Vol.
6%
30°C
$485 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$252 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport on August 8. High humidity from the North Pacific High limits nocturnal temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect around Seoul-Incheon raises baseline lows relative to rural sites. Minor variability in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities at 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range forecasts and next KMA briefing will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,079Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport on August 8. High humidity from the North Pacific High limits nocturnal temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect around Seoul-Incheon raises baseline lows relative to rural sites. Minor variability in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities at 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range forecasts and next KMA briefing will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,079Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and ensemble guidance point to overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport on August 8. High humidity from the North Pacific High limits nocturnal temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect around Seoul-Incheon raises baseline lows relative to rural sites. Minor variability in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities at 27°C and 28°C. Updated short-range forecasts and next KMA briefing will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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